XRP Gains Momentum as ETF Approval Odds Hit 85%

·

XRP is surging, up 4% in the past 24 hours as market sentiment turns increasingly optimistic. The rally comes amid growing speculation that a spot ETF for XRP could be approved in the U.S., with current odds estimated at 85%. This bullish momentum is supported by improving technical indicators—most notably, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed back into neutral territory, and price action continues to hold just above the Ichimoku Cloud. While XRP remains range-bound for now, the combination of strong institutional interest and favorable technical structure suggests a breakout may be on the horizon.

👉 Discover how market momentum could accelerate with regulatory clarity.

XRP RSI Rebounds to Neutral Zone: Is Momentum Shifting?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XRP has shown a significant recovery, rising from 36.51 to 50.40 within a single day. This marks a critical shift from oversold conditions into neutral ground, following a sharp correction earlier in the month. Notably, XRP’s RSI had previously peaked at 70.95 on April 28—a level typically associated with overbought markets—before retracing.

The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the velocity and magnitude of price changes on a scale from 0 to 100. Readings below 30 generally indicate oversold conditions, while values above 70 suggest overbought levels. With the current RSI at 50.40, XRP is neither overextended nor undervalued, reflecting a market in balance.

This rebound signals diminishing selling pressure and growing buyer interest. Although the RSI hasn't yet entered bullish territory (above 60), a sustained move higher—especially if accompanied by increased trading volume—could confirm a shift in market momentum.

For traders, this neutral zone acts as a pivot point. A continued climb past 60 would strengthen the case for a short-term rally, particularly if it coincides with a breakout above key resistance levels. Conversely, failure to maintain gains could lead to renewed selling pressure.

XRP Struggles for Direction Amid Mixed Technical Signals

On the Ichimoku Cloud chart, XRP is currently trading just above the cloud—a zone that often functions as dynamic support during bullish trends. However, the outlook isn't entirely positive. The cloud ahead has shifted from green to red, indicating potential resistance and a weakening trend structure.

The Tenkan-sen (blue line) and Kijun-sen (red line) are nearly flat and closely aligned, reflecting short-term indecision in the market. This suggests that neither bulls nor bears are in firm control, despite the slight upward bias in price.

Additionally, the Chikou Span (green lagging line) remains close to prior price levels without showing strong confirmation of bullish continuation. This lack of follow-through adds caution to any optimistic outlook.

The transition to a red cloud introduces uncertainty, signaling that upcoming sessions may see increased volatility as bulls attempt to defend support and bears look for signs of reversal. A decisive move—either above resistance or back into the cloud—will likely determine XRP’s next directional trend.

Market participants should watch for volume-backed breakouts or breakdowns, as these could provide clearer signals of where momentum is headed.

XRP Maintains Bullish EMA Structure Amid Key Price Levels

Despite recent consolidation, XRP continues to maintain a bullish Exponential Moving Average (EMA) structure. Shorter-term EMAs remain positioned above longer-term ones, indicating that the underlying trend still favors upward movement.

However, price action is currently confined within a tight range between $2.15 (support) and $2.30 (resistance). This narrow trading band suggests a period of equilibrium, where neither buyers nor sellers are able to gain decisive control.

A break below $2.15 could open the door to further downside, potentially targeting $2.03 and even $1.90. Such a move would challenge the current bullish structure and could trigger additional profit-taking or stop-loss activations.

On the upside, a confirmed breakout above $2.30—especially if followed by a move past $2.36—could ignite a new wave of buying pressure. In that scenario, the next resistance zones would likely emerge around $2.50 and $2.64.

As long as the EMA alignment remains intact, bulls retain a technical advantage. But until price breaks out of its current range with conviction, the market is likely to remain in a state of cautious anticipation.

👉 See how breakout patterns can signal major price moves before they happen.

Core Keywords Driving Market Sentiment

The current momentum in XRP’s price is being driven by several interconnected factors:

These keywords reflect both investor curiosity and analytical focus, capturing search intent around regulatory developments, technical indicators, and future price expectations.

Natural integration of these terms throughout this article ensures alignment with SEO best practices while maintaining readability and relevance.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Q: What does an 85% chance of XRP ETF approval mean for investors?
A: An 85% probability suggests strong market confidence that regulators may approve a spot ETF for XRP in 2025. If realized, such approval could bring institutional capital into the ecosystem, increase liquidity, and enhance price stability.

Q: How reliable is the RSI in predicting XRP’s next move?
A: The RSI is a valuable tool for identifying overbought or oversold conditions, but it works best when combined with other indicators like volume, moving averages, and support/resistance levels. Currently, RSI shows neutral momentum—useful context, but not a standalone signal.

Q: What happens if XRP breaks below $2.15?
A: A sustained break below $2.15 could trigger further selling, potentially pushing price toward $2.03 and $1.90. This would undermine the current bullish EMA structure and may prompt short-term bearish sentiment.

Q: Why is the Ichimoku Cloud turning red significant?
A: A red cloud indicates future resistance and reflects weakening bullish momentum. It suggests that upcoming price levels may act as barriers to upward movement unless backed by strong buying volume.

Q: Can XRP reach $2.50 in the near term?
A: Yes—if XRP breaks above $2.30 with strong volume and maintains momentum, targets at $2.50 and $2.64 become technically viable in the short to mid-term.

Q: How do EMAs influence trading decisions for XRP?
A: EMAs help identify trend direction and strength. With shorter EMAs above longer ones, the current structure supports bullish bias—but traders await confirmation via breakout or retest patterns.

👉 Stay ahead with real-time data and advanced charting tools for smarter decisions.

Final Outlook: A Pivotal Moment for XRP

XRP stands at a crossroads. On one side: strong institutional interest fueled by rising ETF approval odds. On the other: technical hesitation reflected in neutral RSI readings and a narrowing trading range.

The coming days could prove decisive. A breakout above $2.30—especially if supported by high volume and positive regulatory news—could reignite bullish momentum and push prices toward $2.50 and beyond. Conversely, failure to gain traction may result in another test of support at $2.15 or lower.

For investors and traders alike, monitoring key technical levels alongside regulatory developments will be essential. With both fundamentals and technicals pointing toward potential catalysts in 2025, XRP remains one of the most watched assets in the crypto market.

While no outcome is guaranteed, the convergence of favorable odds, resilient support, and improving momentum makes this a moment worth watching closely.