The XRP price as of April 17, 2025, is hovering below $2.10, continuing its downward trend from a 2025 peak of $3.40. The crypto market is buzzing with speculation after trader Ak47 predicted that XRP could drop to $1.40—a level last seen in October 2024. This forecast has sparked debate among retail investors and analysts alike, raising urgent questions about XRP’s short-term resilience and long-term potential.
In this comprehensive guide, we’ll unpack Ak47’s bearish projection, examine the macroeconomic and technical forces shaping XRP’s trajectory in 2025, and explore contrasting bullish outlooks. Whether you're holding XRP or considering an entry, this analysis delivers actionable insights grounded in technical indicators, market sentiment, and expert forecasts.
Ak47’s $1.40 XRP Prediction: A Technical Breakdown
Trader Ak47, known for high-impact market commentary on X (formerly Twitter), has issued a bearish forecast for XRP based on technical chart patterns. On April 8, 2025, Ak47 shared a chart indicating a key order block (OB) at $1.40—a zone where institutional buyers historically accumulate large positions.
"$XRP is likely to hit the OB around $1.4 and then from there I’ll go long 🤝"
— Ak47♛ (@HolaItsAk47), April 8, 2025
This statement implies a strategic plan: allow the price to fall to $1.40 before initiating long positions. While seemingly bearish in the short term, Ak47’s move signals confidence in a future rebound. Let’s examine the key elements of this analysis.
Key Factors Behind the Forecast
- Change of Character (CHOCH) Breakdown: Ak47’s chart reveals that XRP has broken below a critical CHOCH level on the daily timeframe. This technical pattern indicates a shift from bullish to bearish momentum, often preceding deeper corrections.
- **Support at $1.40**: The order block at $1.40 represents a liquidity zone where large traders may step in. Historically, such levels act as magnets during downtrends, making them plausible reversal points.
- Historical Precedent: XRP has experienced sharp corrections before. A drop from $2.50 to $1.40 would mark a 44% decline—significant but not unprecedented. In 2022, XRP fell 60% from its highs; in 2018, it plunged 90%. This context suggests that while painful, a $1.40 level is within the realm of possibility.
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Current Market Conditions: Is XRP Rebounding or Facing Further Downside?
As of April 17, 2025, XRP is up 0.7% on the day, testing the $2.09 resistance level. According to CoinMarketCap, the 24-hour price change stands at +1.51%, with a market cap of $122 billion and daily trading volume reaching $3.08 billion.
Despite this minor uptick, the broader technical picture remains cautious:
- **Psychological Support at $2.00**: The $2.00 level is a critical psychological barrier. Although briefly breached in early April, XRP has since recovered—suggesting buyer interest near this zone.
- Downward-Sloping Regression Channel: The price remains confined within a descending channel on the daily chart, limiting upside potential unless a decisive breakout occurs above $2.52.
While short-term volatility offers trading opportunities, the absence of strong bullish momentum suggests caution for investors hoping for an immediate rally.
Why Is XRP Under Pressure in 2025? Key Market Drivers
Several macroeconomic and sector-specific factors are contributing to XRP’s current struggles:
Global Risk-Off Sentiment
Equity markets, including the S&P 500, are down 6% from their 2025 highs amid rising geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties—particularly between the U.S. and China. As risk assets, altcoins like XRP often correlate with broader financial markets. A flight from risk directly impacts investor appetite for digital assets.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Although Ripple won key legal victories against the SEC in 2023, regulatory clarity remains incomplete. New crypto legislation under discussion—such as potential bills from the Senate Banking Committee—has yet to pass. Meanwhile, statements from U.S. policymakers under President Trump’s administration have introduced fresh uncertainty about future crypto regulations.
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Liquidity Constraints
The Federal Reserve has maintained tight monetary policy due to persistent inflation in 2025. Without rate cuts or stimulus measures, overall market liquidity remains constrained. Unlike the 2020–2021 bull run fueled by quantitative easing, today’s environment lacks a macroeconomic tailwind to propel speculative assets like XRP.
Altcoin Market Saturation
The cryptocurrency landscape has become increasingly crowded, with thousands of new tokens competing for investor attention. While Ripple continues to expand its use case in cross-border payments, newer blockchain projects with aggressive marketing and DeFi integrations are drawing capital away from established altcoins like XRP.
Flight to Traditional Safe Havens
Gold prices surged 16% in 2025 as investors seek stability amid economic uncertainty. This shift reflects a broader trend: assets perceived as inflation hedges are being reevaluated. Some investors who previously viewed XRP as a digital alternative to gold are now reallocating funds to physical commodities, adding downward pressure on XRP.
Technical Outlook: Support and Resistance Levels to Watch
Understanding key price levels is crucial for navigating XRP’s volatility. Based on current chart dynamics, here are the most important support and resistance zones:
Critical Support Levels
- $1.77: Represents recent lows from February and April 2025—acts as a short-term floor.
- $1.40: Ak47’s projected order block; historically significant liquidity zone.
- $2.00: A psychological benchmark frequently tested since late 2024.
Key Resistance Zones
- $2.52: Upper boundary of the current regression channel; breakout here could signal renewed bullish momentum.
- $2.59: Aligns with March 2025 highs.
- $2.87–$2.99: Strong resistance formed by peaks in December 2024 and March 2025.
- $3.40: The year-to-date high; a decisive move above this level would invalidate the current bearish structure.
Until XRP breaks above $2.59 with strong volume, the path of least resistance remains downward.
Could XRP Rebound? Bullish Catalysts on the Horizon
Despite short-term headwinds, several fundamental and technical factors suggest a potential recovery later in 2025:
Institutional Adoption of RippleNet
Ripple continues to expand its network of financial partners globally, particularly in Asia and Latin America. Banks are increasingly adopting RippleNet for faster, cheaper cross-border settlements—directly increasing demand for XRP as a liquidity tool.
Potential Regulatory Clarity
With Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott indicating that crypto legislation could pass by August 2025, clearer rules may unlock institutional investment flows. A regulated environment could pave the way for XRP-based ETFs or custody solutions.
Analyst Price Targets for 2025
- Standard Chartered: Predicts $5.50 by end of 2025, driven by ETF inflows and global adoption.
- CoinPedia: Forecasts $5.81, citing growing RippleNet integration.
- Changelly: More conservative at $2.05 for 2025 but expects long-term growth to $7.10 by 2028.
- Egrag Crypto: Most aggressive forecast—$17.00—if XRP breaks above $3.40 and triggers a parabolic move.
These projections highlight a stark divergence between technical pessimism and fundamental optimism.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
How low is XRP expected to go?
Analyst Ak47 predicts XRP could fall to $1.40—a level tied to historical buying activity. This represents a 33% drop from current prices and aligns with technical indicators like CHOCH breakdowns and regression channels.
Could XRP reach $20?
While not predicted for 2025, a rise to $20 would require a 952% increase from $2.10. Given XRP’s history of volatility (e.g., its surge in 2017–2018), it's theoretically possible—but would demand massive adoption, regulatory approval, and a broad bull market cycle.
Will XRP hit $5?
Yes—several reputable analysts expect this. Standard Chartered and CoinPedia project $5.50–$5.81 by end of 2025, supported by Ripple’s expanding utility in global payments and potential ETF developments.
Is $1.40 a buying opportunity?
Many traders view $1.40 as a high-probability accumulation zone due to its status as an order block with historical liquidity. However, confirmation via price action (e.g., bullish reversal patterns) would strengthen this thesis.
What triggers an XRP price recovery?
Key catalysts include U.S. crypto legislation passing, increased RippleNet adoption by banks, Federal Reserve rate cuts improving liquidity, and Bitcoin reclaiming bullish momentum—all of which could restore investor confidence.
Can XRP reach $1,000?
No credible forecast supports this level. A $1,000 price would require a near-infinite return and drastic changes in supply dynamics—XRP’s circulating supply is approximately 56 billion tokens, making such a valuation economically implausible.
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